Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.000920 0.000989 0.001062 0.001145 0.001237 0.001336 0.001453
2025-12-14 0.000815 0.000906 0.001008 0.001131 0.001275 0.001440 0.001647
2025-12-21 0.000738 0.000840 0.000958 0.001105 0.001285 0.001502 0.001786
2025-12-28 0.000659 0.000764 0.000886 0.001043 0.001241 0.001486 0.001822
2026-01-04 0.000606 0.000711 0.000838 0.001003 0.001218 0.001492 0.001880
2026-01-11 0.000572 0.000680 0.000812 0.000989 0.001224 0.001534 0.001986
2026-01-18 0.000547 0.000658 0.000796 0.000984 0.001241 0.001588 0.002113
2026-01-25 0.000594 0.000730 0.000903 0.001149 0.001499 0.001997 0.002800
2026-02-01 0.000556 0.000689 0.000861 0.001107 0.001463 0.001980 0.002838
2026-02-08 0.000527 0.000657 0.000828 0.001076 0.001441 0.001983 0.002904
2026-02-15 0.000506 0.000636 0.000808 0.001062 0.001442 0.002020 0.003030
2026-02-22 0.000482 0.000610 0.000781 0.001036 0.001423 0.002021 0.003095
2026-03-01 0.000456 0.000582 0.000753 0.001011 0.001411 0.002045 0.003222
2026-03-08 0.000437 0.000563 0.000735 0.001001 0.001421 0.002106 0.003427
2026-03-15 0.000416 0.000539 0.000711 0.000979 0.001411 0.002132 0.003570
2026-03-22 0.000387 0.000505 0.000669 0.000926 0.001346 0.002056 0.003501
2026-03-29 0.000366 0.000480 0.000639 0.000893 0.001311 0.002030 0.003528
2026-04-05 0.000353 0.000465 0.000625 0.000881 0.001310 0.002065 0.003690
2026-04-12 0.000343 0.000454 0.000615 0.000877 0.001323 0.002125 0.003913
2026-04-19 0.000369 0.000499 0.000692 0.001017 0.001600 0.002726 0.005528
2026-04-26 0.000352 0.000477 0.000663 0.000981 0.001555 0.002681 0.005545
2026-05-03 0.000337 0.000459 0.000641 0.000955 0.001528 0.002668 0.005645
2026-05-10 0.000327 0.000447 0.000628 0.000943 0.001527 0.002711 0.005906